Will Talent Win Out?

Last night the Hawks kept their focus long enough to secure a 4-2 victory over the struggling Oilers. Because a long road trip can be physically and mentally taxing, last night’s effort was a good one for Chicago. But give the Oilers credit as they didn’t give up and took advantage of Blackhawk defensive lapses. 

In the final period, Cristobal Huet was called upon to make a few difficult saves and he was in place to do so. Coach Quenneville could give him an opportunity for redemption on Thursday night. Huet was the loser last time the Hawks faced the Sharks My guess is Antti Niemi will get another start, either in San Jose or in Carolina. 

A lot is being made of Thursday’s match-up featuring the top two teams in the NHL. The Hawks have played well against the Sharks this season, winning two of three. In their only loss they fell behind early, although dominating most of the play. 

The Sharks will be favored tomorrow night as they are at home and catching a road weary group. Coach Q. will not let his club use the built in excuse of being tired. 

The Hawks are approaching this game as if it is a very important one. 

In Quenneville’s post game comments he mentioned the outcome of the Sharks contest could be meaningful in determining playoff seeding.  This will be the last regular season meeting between Chicago and San Jose. It will be interesting to see how the Hawks respond to this tough challenge. 

Window of Opportunity 

I heard an interview with one of the best head coaches in the NHL a short time ago on XM Home Ice. 

Barry Trotz of the Prdedators remarked he didn’t believe there was much difference between the teams in the Western Conference. He was referencing those clubs that ranked between fourth and fourteenth place, which included his group. 

Trotz believes teams like Chicago and San Jose have more talent than others. They have a stronger roster because this is their window of opportunity. In essence the salary cap has been handled well enough to give those teams the advantage of a deeper roster. Most of the other teams in the Western Conference have similar talent and then intangibles come into play. 

Injuries, coaching and other factors then determine how well most teams will perform. 

Trotz didn’t make specific reference but some franchises like the Predators are limited by a more restrictive budget. Spending more money doesn’t necessarily lead to championships, just ask the New York Rangers. But spending money the right way helps. 

If a franchise is run consistently well, they will continue to win often enough to stay in the playoff hunt. That has been the case over the years for the Predators. 

Now teams like the Hawks, Canucks, Red Wings, and Sharks have the luxury of deep talent laden rosters. Those clubs have a better chance of succeeding even with many injuries because of their depth. 

Last night the Red Wings lost a home game after allowing the Coyotes to score two goals in the final ninety seconds to tie the score. Phoenix went onto win in OT. 

The Red Wings have done a fine job of staying in the playoff picture primarily because of their depth and coaching. They have had a multitude of injuries. It will be interesting to see if fatigue well set in for those who having been shouldering the brunt of the load. 

So far the Canucks, Hawks and Sharks have utilized their many skillful players to offset injuries. They are in a position to have a strong finish and a now competing for home ice throughout the playoffs. 

Last night, after watching the Blackhawks play keep away against the Oilers for much of the game, I thought of the Trotz interview. The Hawks won last night because of an abundance of talent. They are a much deeper team than the Oilers and came at them in waves. 

The Hawks, Canucks, Red Wings and Sharks have more talent than others at this time. Fans can debate which club is the best. 

Coaching, injuries and intangibles will also determine who will win the Western Conference and advance to the Stanley Cup finals. 

Teams like Nashville and many others will hope pure talent doesn’t win out. Sometimes in sports having more talent doesn’t guarantee ultimate success. That’s when Trotz’s coaching know how and intangibles come into play. 

Come the spring, we will see how much talent alone matters. 

Al’s Shots 

It was nice to see Duncan Keith play only 22:48 last night. Brent Seabrook had similar minutes. 

In the last month of the season it would help if Keith and Seabrook weren’t used more than 25 minutes in most games. We will see if Q. will have an opportunity to ease those two into the playoffs. 

Keith set a new career high by notching his 37th assist against the Oilers. 

Dustin Byfuglien and Kris Versteeg finally stained the score sheet. Before last night, both as well as John Madden were held scoreless on the current road trip. 

That is another advantage of having a deep team….one line can fall off for awhile and the team isn’t crippled. 

blackhawkswin@comcast.net

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  1. Dave Morris says:

    Al, all good points.

    Right now there appears to be clear distinction between the ‘have’ teams (using your description) like Washington, San Jose, Chicago, and the rest.

    However, the picture gets a little fuzzy after that, in my view.

    New Jersey and Buffalo seem to get their results based on the application of strong coaching, a well defined system and an elite goaltender. While one can say both teams have a few stars besides Brodeur and Miller respectively (like Parise and Vanek), they are by no means ‘talent-laden’.

    Pittsburgh, with essentially the same talent-laden roster as last year, have been inconsistent so far for a variety of reasons.

    A look at the standings shows an extremely tight race in both conferences: in the East, ten points separate 5th from 13th places. A crowd of ‘bubble teams’ from 6 to 12 is separated by a single point. 

    A similar situation exists in the West, though less dramatic, with the gap between 4th and 9th being just seven points.

    So a ‘bad week’ by a team (i.e. three consecutive losses) can mean a tumble in the standings.

    While I agree deep talent is key, consistent execution appears to be more critical than ever.

    With the battle heating up, we may see playoff intensity hockey across the board even before the Olympic break.

    The Blackhawks have earned a premium spot so far. The question remains whether they can keep their focus and intensity level through the next few months, with so much hockey left to play…and playoff positions far from a given.

    While the Hawks will probably remain in the top seeds, every opponent will be ready to jump on their miscues.

    And with the balance so delicate, this makes the decisions by management on whether or not to make changes even tougher.

  2. Al Cimaglia says:

    I will have more to say on this in coming weeks, but you touched on it…

    With Coach Q. the Hawks will have to stay a “system” team and it will be more important next season when the talent level will be down to start.

    Consisitency not complacency will be key for this year.

  3. jt19 says:

    bill clement was on xm tonight (on the powerplay) and they were talking about homes for Kovy… he thought that the teams mentioned most (LA, Boston, Chi) have very structured systems and that Kovy’s been doing whatever he wants in ATL for the past few years… that just won’t fit with any of those teams…  interesting viewpoint.
     

  4. Dave Morris says:

    @JT> if you remember, Bill Clement–who played for the Atlanta franchise when the Flames were there–also said during his interview on PowerPlay today, that if Kovalchuk leaves, that could be the end of the NHL in Atlanta.

  5. Al Cimaglia says:

    Yep…I thought the same and wrote so awhile ago.

    The game is played with one puck and Kovy is use to plying 25 mins. a night….no Hawk forward plays that much.